(CNN)In the 1997 movie
"Contact," a scientist, played by actress Jodie Foster, detects a radio
signal -- the first communication from an extraterrestrial civilization.
That story, penned by Carl Sagan and his wife Ann Druyan,
is fiction of course. But the search for such a signal is not such a
crazy story. Real scientists look to the sky, using powerful radio
telescopes, hoping to hear even a faint whisper of a radio signal from
of one our celestial neighbors.
Don Lincoln
And
indeed, a recent report of a transmission originating from Proxima
Centauri, the closest star to our own, was reported by the British
newspaper
The Guardian in December. The source of the story is not a scientific paper, but instead seems to have been
leaked
by an anonymous source. The claim of an intercepted signal, if it turns
out to be truly sign of extraterrestrial intelligence, would be one of
the most momentous discoveries of all times. But this reported signal is
almost certainly not that.
In April and May of 2019, the 64-meter-wide
Parkes radio telescope,
located in Australia, was recording radio transmissions from the
direction of nearby star Proxima Centauri. Over the course of hours, the
telescope recorded data from the star for 30-minute intervals, before
steering away to look at a different direction. This procedure, called "
nodding,"
is used to establish that any observed signal is coming from a
particular direction, rather than just random radio noise. For five of
these half-hour intervals, the signal was
observed while the antenna was pointing at Proxima Centauri, and it was not detected at all when it was aimed in another direction.
This
signal was not immediately noticed; it was over a year after the data
was recorded that Shane Smith, an intern with Breakthrough Listen, a
project funded by billionaire Yuri Milner that seeks to find signals of
extraterrestrial life, found it buried in the telescope's recordings.
This was in
late October 2020.
So,
what, exactly was seen? It was a radio signal at a single frequency,
specifically 980.002 MHz. The signal drifted slightly with time, which
is what you'd expect if it was emitted by a planet or moon orbiting a
star. It was observed to have originated in a small patch of the sky,
about
half the diameter of the full moon, centered on Proxima Centauri.
First
and foremost, it is important to note that astronomers think it is
highly unlikely that the signal is caused by space aliens trying to
communicate with us. Even the researchers involved in Breakthrough
Listen do not make that claim.
It
is also important to remember that this observation has not yet been
published in a refereed journal, so it has not undergone rigorous
scientific review. Instead, the internet buzz arose from a rumor of the
signal that was leaked to
The Guardian, which published it on December 18.
Still,
it is interesting to do the thought experiment about whether the signal
was really a communication from a civilization orbiting around a
distant star. Proxima Centauri is our
astronomical neighbor, just 4.2 light years away. It is a red dwarf star, so dim that it is not visible to the human eye.
Proxima Centauri is known to have at least two planets. One is about seven times the mass of Earth, while the other is only about
20% more massive than Earth. The smaller planet orbits very close to the star, circling it in a mere
11 days.
Proxima
Centauri is dim compared to the Sun, and this smaller planet is located
the right distance away from its star to possibly have liquid water.
It is in what is called the
Goldilocks zone -- not too hot, not too cold, but just right.
This
makes the planet an exciting one for astronomers to study. A radio
signal from a possibly habitable world could be the first proof that we
are not alone in the universe. But we shouldn't be hasty. For one
thing, the smaller planet orbiting Proxima Centauri is close enough to
be affected by sudden bursts of energy called flares from the parent
star. These
flares
would likely both bathe the planet with enough radiation to kill any
familiar form of life and also strip away any possible atmosphere. The
planet would also be "
tidally locked,"
with one face always facing the star, much like we see only one face of
the Moon. It turns out that this planet is very unlikely to be a
pleasant place.
In
addition, it is simply much more likely that the radio signal is of
terrestrial origin. We live in a world of radio signals, from AM and FM
broadcasts of current music hits to cell phones and errant emissions
from microwave ovens. And, with its frequency of 980.002 MHz, it's very
curious that the signal frequency happens to be so close to an integer.
If this is a signal from alien life, this would suggest it counts time
in seconds the way we do. Plus, the signal is a single frequency. Radio
transmissions need to vary in strength or frequency to transmit
information, and this one doesn't, so if it is an alien trying to
communicate, they're clearly not trying to tell us much.
So,
sadly, it's likely that this potentially exciting signal has an
ordinary cause. But that is quite beside the point. The important thing
is that, whether it was generated by aliens or not, humanity detected
the signal. We are gazing out into the cosmos, actively looking to see
if we have cosmic neighbors. And that is good. It is something we should
be doing.
One
day, that scene acted out in "Contact" will be real. Some researcher
will be surprised by a faint and scratchy signal from the sky -- a
signal that will change everything. But only if we're listening. When
ET does make that call, someone should be manning the phones.
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